- Bitcoin’s 2025 cycle marks a bullish start, following historic price patterns for major growth.
- The current cycle’s structure mirrors past successes, suggesting potential for new highs.
- Predictions suggest Bitcoin could hit $285,000 in 2025, driven by a steepening price arc.
Bitcoin launched a new four-year cycle in January 2025, closing above $102,000 in the opening candle. Historical chart structures indicate that the current price action mirrors prior cycle restarts, despite recent market fear.
Yearly Candle Patterns Support Ongoing Cycle Structure
Each new cycle begins with a bullish “1” candle, typically setting fresh highs and signaling the start of upward momentum. In the current cycle, Bitcoin’s 2025 candle already shows a strong move, aligning with historical performance trends. This pattern repeats on the 12-month timeframe, forming consistent four-year structures across the past 14 years. The pattern began in 2011 and has followed a rhythmic sequence ever since.
Source: Rekt Capital
According to market analyst Rekt Capital, “The old Four-Year Cycle (2021–2024) ended on January 1, 2025, and the new one has begun.” He explained that candles marked “1” have historically led to price surges, with retracement years labeled as “2,” and consolidation or reaccumulation years marked “3” and “4.”
He added, “The 2025 green candle labeled ‘1’ resembles previous cycle openers that closed well above prior resistance levels.” His chart identifies candles “1” in 2013, 2017, and 2021—all followed by all-time highs during those same years.
Building on this information, Rekt Capital emphasized the consistent spacing and performance of each numbered candle within the sequence. He concluded, “To declare the cycle broken five months into a new one is premature based on recurring structure.”
Projected Super-Cycle Could Extend Bullish Momentum
In addition to the previous points, a separate analysis points to the possibility of a prolonged and stronger-than-usual bull run. This projection includes more aggressive targets based on extended cycle geometry.
Source: Chiefy
According to crypto cycle observer Chiefy, “Bitcoin is entering the Super-Cycle phase on May 15, 2025, with a target of $285,000.” He highlighted that price arcs across past tops, 2013, 2017, 2021, and 2025, form a logarithmic curve that steepens during bullish expansion.
As a result of these factors, it can be observed that the market may enter an acceleration phase soon. The arc model shows $109,000 as the early-cycle top, with room for a parabolic move through the second half of 2025.
Chiefy’s model notes green circles at historical accumulation zones in 2011, 2015, 2019, and late 2022. These precede each surge. Red peaks mark tops every four years, now pointing to a possible next peak above $280,000.
