- Bitcoin dominance rejects 73 percent resistance as MACD crossover signals altcoin rise
- Altseason 2025 emerges after BTC dominance mirrors 2021 pattern and begins downward move
- MACD bearish signal and BTC rejection align with historic altcoin breakouts in past cycles
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) recently hit a key resistance level near 73%. This was the fourth time it had done so since 2019. In 2019, 2020, and 2021, this level was reached before a lot of altcoin activity happened. The rejection in 2021 caused BTC.D to drop sharply to about 40%, which started a full-blown altseason.
Source: X
In July 2025, BTC.D tried to get through this same resistance level again, but it was turned down . The weekly chart now shows a bearish candle, which means that the price is likely to start going down. Data from the past shows that similar patterns have often gone along with better performance in the altcoin market. This could be an early sign that money is starting to move from Bitcoin to other cryptocurrencies.
Momentum Indicators Back Up a Possible Change
The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) on the bi-weekly timeframe formed a bearish cross. The trend is similar to the start of 2021’s altseason. The MACD line has also dropped below the signal line, and the red contrarian histogram bars are also expanding, indicating that BTC.D is becoming more bearish.
Such a momentum change could mean that the dominance of Bitcoin in the market is faltering. Having lost their status as the most critical cryptocurrency, but with the value of Bitcoin still on the same level or even rising, there is a high possibility that individuals are investing in the altcoins. In case the pattern continues in the future, then it can be suggestive that a much bigger cryptocurrency run is about to happen.
Important Market Levels and What They Mean for Investors
If Bitcoin dominance keeps going down, analysts say that the 60% and 50–52% ranges are important support areas. These levels held up during past altseasons and could be used as guides for the growth of altcoins.
If this cycle follows the example set by the one in 2021, a lot of money may end up in altcoins. There will be an increase in the number of users of DeFi, the AI tokens, and the Layer 1 blockchains. This cycle may influence the trading strategies in the interim of the year 2025, where traders will closely monitor the movement in dominance of BTC in order to rebalance their portfolios.
