- BTC dominance faced rejection at 65% for the third time since 2017, followed by a sharp pullback to the 59.4% level.
- The MACD on the 1W chart printed a bearish cross, mirroring the start of previous altcoin seasons in 2017 and 2021.
- Altcoin market cap has broken above $3.2T, forming higher highs and confirming the early stages of Altcoin Season III.
Bitcoin dominance faced yet another rejection at the key 65% level, echoing past cycle tops. As BTC falters, altcoins are seizing momentum—marking a potential shift in market leadership and signaling the early stages of Altseason 2025.
Bitcoin Dominance Rejected Once Again at 65%
Bitcoin dominance has failed to break a trendline connecting cycle tops from 2017, 2021, and 2025. As reported by Mister Crypto on X, this rejection follows the exact pattern of previous macro peaks. In each of those cycles, dominance reversed sharply after touching the resistance.
Source Misster Crypto
In 2017, Bitcoin dominance reached around 72% before quickly falling to nearly 36%. A similar pattern appeared in 2021, where it hit the same resistance level and dropped again.
Now in 2025, Bitcoin dominance climbed to 65% but was rejected once more. This is the third time it has failed at the same trendline, causing another sharp drop just like in previous years.
Since that rejection, weekly candles have consistently closed in red, reflecting strong downside momentum building up. As of now, Bitcoin dominance is hovering around 59.41% and continuing to slide, echoing the pattern seen in previous market cycles.
Momentum indicators also back this move. The MACD has flipped bearish, with the blue MACD line crossing below the orange signal line—mirroring the bearish crosses seen at prior cycle tops. The histogram has also turned red, confirming a shift in momentum after a bullish run that lasted from 2022 through mid-2025.
Altcoin Market Cap Shows Early Breakout Structure
While Bitcoin dominance shows weakness, altcoin market cap charts reveal strength. As seen in recent data, the market has entered a new bullish phase similar to 2017 and 2021. Altcoin Season I and II both followed a breakout from accumulation ranges. The current breakout above $3.2 trillion marks the beginning of Altcoin Season III.
Source Mister Crypto
Altcoin market cap has printed higher highs on the monthly chart, with no signs of major pullback. The current cycle mirrors previous expansions in terms of structure, sequence, and pace. Each phase follows a pattern: long accumulation, breakout, and vertical price rally.
The support zone remains around 37.5% on Bitcoin dominance, acting as the historical base for previous altseasons. With BTC.D now moving lower and altcoin cap rising, market conditions are aligning with a new cycle.
