- Apple is retesting its 50-month SMA, technical support that has consistently preceded major upward moves over the past 17 years.
- The current 22.38% correction places AAPL directly on a historical demand zone, aligning with previous bullish breakout structures.
- Previous touches of the 50-month SMA led to rallies exceeding 100%, and the current setup mirrors those earlier conditions closely.
Apple Inc. is testing a key long-term level near its 50-month simple moving average. Historical performance suggests that each touch of this level has sparked new bull runs over the past 17 years.
Recurring Technical Pattern
A recent tweet from Ali_charts noted that every time Apple touched its 50-month SMA, a new bullish phase began. This technical pattern has shaped market behavior over many years.
The stock has consistently respected the 50-month SMA as an inflection point. Investors observe that this level offers dynamic support during corrections and market adjustments.
Historical trends reveal that the moving average has acted as a catalyst for renewed strength. The level has marked moments of market recovery and accumulation in multiple cycles.
Historical Bull Runs
In 2009, Apple’s touch of the 50-month SMA preceded an 801.62% rally. This surge laid the groundwork for a long period of upward movement.
During later periods, the stock rallied 144.55% in 2013 and 160.95% in 2016 after reaching the same level. In 2020, the trend continued with a 415.32% price explosion following the SMA touch.
Each rally provided a new opportunity for bullish momentum. Historical data shows that the 50-month SMA remains a reliable technical benchmark for Apple.
Current Test and Outlook
In April 2025, Apple returned to its 50-month SMA after a sharp 22.38% correction. The stock traded at $188.42 at the time of writing, hovering around the critical moving average.
This correction brings the stock into a familiar pattern where buyers have historically stepped in. The return to this long-term moving average signals potential accumulation.
Apple’s performance at the 50-month SMA creates a scenario reminiscent of prior bull runs. If Apple manages to hold this level, it might resume its historical pattern of upward movement. The technical structure continues to offer a clear checkpoint for assessing Apple’s trend continuation.
