- Analyst Darkfost says long-term Bitcoin holders show strong conviction, with on-chain data indicating limited selling activity.
- The CVDD metric remains near bear-market levels, suggesting older Bitcoin holdings are largely staying untouched.
- Robert Kiyosaki is watching Bitcoin, Ethereum, gold, and silver for trend reversals before increasing his positions.
Bitcoin’s latest correction has tested investor sentiment, yet long-term holders continue to show limited selling activity. According to analyst Darkfost, on-chain data shows investors holding Bitcoin for more than six months remain largely inactive despite recent market weakness. At the same time, Rich Dad Poor Dad author Robert Kiyosaki said he is monitoring Bitcoin, Ethereum, gold, and silver for signs of a price reversal before making additional purchases.
Long-Term Holders Show Limited Movement
Darkfost pointed to Long-Term Holders, commonly known as LTHs, as a key group during the current market pullback. These investors have held Bitcoin for more than six months. According to Darkfost, a 2020 Glassnode study found that Bitcoin movement probability drops sharply after 155 days of inactivity.
As a result, analysts often track older coins to assess conviction among experienced holders. To measure that activity, Darkfost referenced the Cumulative Value Days Destroyed, or CVDD, metric.
The indicator builds on Coin Days Destroyed by adding a valuation component to transferred coins. Coin Days Destroyed measures how long Bitcoin remained untouched before moving. Consequently, higher readings indicate greater participation from long-term holders.
Darkfost said the CVDD currently sits near 0.3. He noted that such levels usually appear during bear markets or deep corrections. For comparison, the metric exceeded 2 and moved above 4 in March 2024. According to Darkfost, those spikes coincided with periods of heightened holder activity and market tops.
Kiyosaki Watches Assets For Reversal Signals
While Darkfost focused on Bitcoin holder behavior, Robert Kiyosaki discussed his approach to falling asset prices. Kiyosaki said he avoids making decisions based solely on price movements. Instead, he evaluates the broader environment surrounding an asset before buying or selling.
Using real estate as an example, he said he examines local employment trends and surrounding economic conditions. He applies a similar framework to financial assets.
Kiyosaki stated that he closely follows political and banking leadership when assessing gold and silver. He added that he is also monitoring technical charts for gold, silver, Bitcoin, and Ethereum.
According to Kiyosaki, he plans to buy after those assets reverse their current declines. He also said technical indicators suggest gold and silver remain positioned for a significant price increase.
