- US Bitcoin reserve odds hit 75% as economic uncertainty spikes, fueling speculation on crypto’s growing role in financial policy.
- Market sentiment on a US Bitcoin reserve has surged, with Polymarket odds jumping from 40% to over 70% since February.
- Economic uncertainty reaches record highs amid Trump’s tariff plans, driving Bitcoin speculation and expectations of market volatility.
The likelihood of the United States establishing a national Bitcoin reserve by 2025 has risen. According to Polymarket, users predict a 75% chance of this happening. The odds have surged by 28%, reflecting growing speculation. Meanwhile, economic uncertainty in the U.S. continues to rise. The Economic Policy Uncertainty Index has hit an all-time high. Investors anticipate volatile market conditions, especially with Trump’s planned tariff announcement on April 2.
Bitcoin Reserve Expectations Strengthen
Market sentiment around a U.S. Bitcoin reserve has shifted dramatically. At the start of the year, odds were around 45%. By mid-January, they climbed to 60-65%. However, late January saw a sharp decline, bottoming out near 40%.
A turnaround began in mid-February. Probabilities started recovering, climbing back to 50%. The most significant spike occurred in late February. Odds soared from 40% to over 70% within a short period. Throughout March, predictions remained stable, fluctuating between 70-75%. This increase suggests mounting confidence in Bitcoin’s role in U.S. monetary policy.
Economic Uncertainty Reaches Record Levels
Besides Bitcoin speculation, economic uncertainty has reached historic highs according to Crypto Rover. The Economic Policy Uncertainty Index has been tracking market instability for over four decades. The index measures uncertainty based on major newspaper coverage. Over the years, it has captured economic and political turmoil.
Several key moments shaped the index’s history. The 2008 Global Financial Crisis triggered a massive spike. The COVID-19 pandemic pushed uncertainty to unprecedented levels. Now, the index has reached another peak, indicating concerns over economic stability.
Trump’s upcoming tariff announcement adds another layer of volatility. Historically, trade policy changes have driven uncertainty spikes. Market watchers expect turbulence as details emerge.
The impact of Bitcoin speculation and economic instability suggests increased market volatility. Investors should, therefore, anticipate greater volatility. The growing influence of Bitcoin on financial policymaking is also still an important trend to watch.
