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  • Ethereum bounced from $1,550 and is regaining strength near $2,488, reclaiming key trend support seen in past bull cycles.
  • Weekly MACD shows a bullish crossover as Ethereum attempts to break past $2,500, with momentum shifting after a steep flush.
  • Ethereum’s recovery from wedge breakdown mirrors previous cycle resets, setting up a potential move toward $2,700 and beyond.

Ethereum is building a compelling recovery after retesting its long-term trendline. A sharp bounce from the $1,550 area has brought renewed focus to ETH’s macro setup, with price currently hovering near $2,488 and climbing.

Ethereum Regains Structure, Signals Return of Momentum

Ethereum is once again interacting with its decade-long logarithmic regression curve. After testing the lower green band support earlier this year, ETH has bounced back with a strong weekly candle. This rebound aligns with previous market bottoms that preceded major upside cycles.

Analyzing Ethereum’s technical position, the multi-year curved trend shape remains a reliable pillar. The $850 to $2,750 green support zone has registered three significant market lows-lastly in late 2018, secondly in mid-2022, and thirdly in early 2025. All three were the endpoint for long-lasting downtrends and prompted robust reversals. Ethereum’s 11.73% weekly gain further suggests that this region still experiences serious accumulation and long-term buying demand.

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Source: (X)

Ethereum previously broke out from this curve in 2020 and again defended it in 2022. This time, after rebounding from just under $1,550, Ethereum is now regaining traction above $2,400. Historically, this type of retest often precedes substantial rallies. The green curve continues to hold as the key structural base, while the red upper band, near $3,500 to $4,80,0, now acts as the ceiling. Price action is floating just above the curve’s midpoint, mirroring prior mid-cycle zones that preceded parabolic expansion.

Short-Term Volatility Meets Momentum Shift

Ethereum’s recent wedge breakdown was followed by a swift recovery from oversold levels. The rejection near $2,870 has since evolved into a cautious rebound above $2,460, as indicators turn.

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Ethereum’s MACD now shows early signs of bullish crossover. The blue MACD line is curling upward, moving closer to the orange signal line. Histogram bars are flattening out after a deep bearish phase. Momentum is shifting, and this occurs right as Ethereum attempts to reclaim the $2,500 level. The psychological cycle chart also places Ethereum near the ‘bull trap’ zone, where price typically rejects before a deep flush and reset.

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Source: (X)

This behavior matches previous emotional waves. Ethereum flushed out weak hands near $2,260 before finding support and absorbing selling. Now, the question is whether ETH can break past $2,700 and resume trend continuation. A confirmed push above $2,500 could solidify control, though resistance remains sticky.

Ethereum is showing classic compression followed by release-a structure that historically leads to decisive moves. While risks remain, the bounce and improving momentum reflect a cryptocurrency once again aligning with its long-term trend.

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