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  • Ethereum’s 4-year cycle signals a parabolic run as price climbs above $3,500 and accumulation hits all-time highs in 2025.
  • Over 480K ETH inflows between Jan–May 2025 mark the highest on-chain accumulation, pointing to deep institutional conviction.
  • Ethereum flipped major resistances into support, with bullish momentum building toward a projected $16K–$24K cycle peak.

Ethereum appears poised for a breakout as technical patterns and unprecedented accumulation trends converge ahead of 2025’s peak. On-chain activity and expert chart analysis suggest the cryptocurrency is entering the final, most explosive stage of its macro cycle.

Technical Setup Signals Vertical Expansion Ahead

According to a bullish analysis by Bitcoinsensus, Ethereum is mirroring its past 4-year cycle behaviors with striking precision. The cryptocurrency has broken key resistance levels and entered a vertical growth phase, historically followed by parabolic advances.

Ethereum topped near $1,400 in early 2018, then $4,900 in late 2021-each cycle separated by four years. Now, in 2025, the current cycle’s trajectory suggests another dramatic upward continuation. Analysts highlight Ethereum’s bounce from $1,500 to $3,500, inside a strong bullish channel.

This upward structure closely follows historical accumulation-to-breakout formations seen in prior cycles. Ethereum has flipped the $2,800 and $3,500 resistance zones into strong support. Visual projections now place the top between $16,000 and $24,000, marking Ethereum’s steepest growth arc yet.

As an additional consideration, it’s evident that the cryptocurrency’s momentum is underpinned by institutional participation and macro-aligned catalysts. The analyst outlines Ethereum’s rising inflows, favorable macro trends, and increasing staking activity as drivers.

Accumulation Activity Breaks Records

Supporting this outlook, CryptoGoos presents a distinct chart analysis revealing a historic rise in Ethereum holder inflows. The chart titled “Ethereum: Accumulator Addresses Inflows” tracks price versus permanent-holder accumulation from 2016 to 2025.

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Source: CryptoGoos on (X)

Between January to May 2025, Ethereum inflows surged over 480,000, an all-time on-chain high. The inflows were priced between $2,400 and $2,800, a reflection of sober buying in the context of narrowing markets.

As prices stabilized, inflows picked up, a reflection that long-term investors had faith in Ethereum. Traditional cycles anticipate that such episodes of accumulation have always led to massive Ethereum rallies. Ethereum accumulation also increased, from $1,200 at the start of 2023 to more than $3,600 by 2024.

This is consistent with increased market confidence and even possible institutional demand, especially as the exchanges’ reserves continue to shrink.. The analyst points out that Ethereum inflows are currently higher than all previous peak-cycle highs, indicating future price appreciation. Additionally, the sharp rise in accumulation reflects long-term confidence in the ability of Ethereum, reinforcing bullish sentiment in many indicators.

Cycle Climax: Ethereum Set for Explosive Upside

Analysts believe Ethereum is entering its most powerful cycle phase, fueled by record accumulation and bullish structure. With prices steady and inflows peaking, a breakout toward $16,000 or higher appears increasingly likely. BlackRock’s $27.2M ETH withdrawal underscores rising institutional conviction as Ethereum gears up for a potential vertical surge.

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