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  • Ethereum’s resistance at $4,300–$4,400 mirrors Bitcoin’s earlier breakout setup, per analyst Crypto Wolf.
  • Bitcoin holds $100K support after triangle breakout, keeping $127K to $130K in focus for continuation.
  • Both assets show sustained inflows as October trading begins, with analysts framing the move as early expansion.

Ethereum has entered a critical pressure zone after reclaiming key price levels that held throughout previous rejection phases. The asset is trading at $4,326.90 and now confronts a heavy resistance wall spanning $4,300 to $4,400. 

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This band previously acted as both support and rejection during multiple swing phases across late 2024 and mid 2025. According to market analyst Crypto Wolf on X, the current pattern resembles Bitcoin’s prior breakout structure. 

However, Ethereum’s consolidation has lasted far longer, compressing for roughly eighteen months before attempting expansion. He noted that Bitcoin’s breakout unfolded after eight months of tightening, implying Ethereum could demonstrate stronger velocity if confirmation occurs.

Ethereum’s Extended Compression

The asset previously had a prolonged consolidation stretch between mid 2024 and early 2025. It carved a descending structure before breaking lower. However, that deviation failed to lead to sustained downside as buyers reclaimed the $3,350 to $3,400 region shortly after. 

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Source: Wolf on X

That recovery zone now acts as the key invalidation range. A decisive move above the $4,400 top could lead toward $5,150 based on prior supply interactions. However, losing $3,350 could reintroduce downward pressure, reverting price action to earlier accumulation levels. This extended coil, notably longer than Bitcoin’s previous setup, is a focal point for traders watching for expansion.

Bitcoin Holds Above Psychological Levels

Bitcoin, trading at $117,960, continues to defend fresh levels after an explosive breakout. The asset built a descending triangle across March to September 2025, repeatedly clashing with the $70,000 to $74,000 wall. 

Once that level finally gave way, upward continuation accelerated, propelling price toward new structure highs. The $100,000 handle has since emerged as both psychological and structural support. 

Maintaining that level keeps the path toward $127,000 to $130,000 unobstructed. Failure to hold, however, could re-expose the $85,000 to $90,000 retracement window.

Analysts Frame October as Breakout Phase

Both structures show contrasting stages of momentum. Bitcoin has already confirmed its expansion phase, while Ethereum remains on the verge of potential confirmation. According to commentator Merlijn The Trader, price action across both majors marks the beginning of increased activity, stating that “UPTOBER HAS OFFICIALLY BEGUN.” 

Market reactions across both assets reflect consistent inflows as key reclaimed levels continue to hold. Sustained positioning above those zones keeps immediate bias tilted toward continuation rather than reversal, provided structural supports remain intact.

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