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  • Chainlink price multi-year triangle pattern is suggesting a possible breakout or downside move soon.
  • On-chain data shows that exchange reserves dropped from over 200M to 145.6M LINK, this is a signal for reduced selling pressure.
  • Chainlink has expanded integrations across 24 blockchains which has strengthened long-term adoption and institutional participation.

Chainlink’s price is edging toward a juncture that could start either a push or a pullback. Traders are watching on-chain metrics and technical indicators to gauge the next move.

Technical Structure Suggests a Key Turning Point

Chainlink’s 3-day timeframe has formed a large symmetrical triangle formation stretching from 2021 up to date.This structure is due to a prolonged consolidation period that appears to be nearing completion. 

According to chart analysis shared by Ali_charts, the current Chainlink price around $17.50 is testing the triangle’s lower boundary. The 0.618 Fibonacci level at $21.80 is the nearest resistance while the 0.5 retracement around $16.57 forms the nearest support.

If Chainlink price clears $22, projections suggest targets at $32.24, $53.07, and $99.98 in the long term. However a close below $16.50 could open the path to $11.30.

The BBWP volatility indicator has recently crossed above its moving average, signaling an approaching high-volatility phase that currently favors bearish pressure.

On-Chain Metrics Indicate Supply Contraction

Chainlink exchange reserves fell from 200 million tokens in early 2023 to about 145.6 million by late 2025. This reduction suggests fewer tokens available for immediate sale as investors move holdings off exchanges.

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Source: Beritz Via X

Historical patterns show that similar drops in reserves coincided with accumulation phases before upward trends.Periods of reserve increases, seen in mid-2023 and early 2024, often matched short-term price pullbacks. 

The current reserve low combined with stable price behavior implies a tightening supply environment. If demand strengthens, Chainlink prices could respond positively in the medium term.

Ecosystem Developments and Institutional Interest

Chainlink continues to expand its utility through consistent integrations. The project reported 62 new integrations across 24 chains, including Ethereum, Solana, and Polygon. 

Chainlink also powers Circle’s new Arc layer-2 network and may see added institutional interest from Grayscale’s proposed GLNK spot ETF conversion.These developments coincide with broader optimism among market participants who view Chainlink’s multi-year trendline bounce as an early stage of a macro reversal.

While short-term volatility remains, long-term fundamentals and network adoption trends provide a balanced backdrop for Chainlink price movement.

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