- Bitcoin may have hit its weekly bottom with 91% certainty, signaling strong buying opportunities for long-term holders.
- Three consecutive high-volume red candles show capitulation, suggesting major funds are absorbing sell pressure.
- BTC could reach $112K–$118K soon, with a 75% chance the bull run continues, despite market fear and uncertainty.
Bitcoin traders face a crucial moment as market fear reaches extreme levels. Analyst Astronomer predicts a 91% probability that the weekly bottom is already in, signaling no closes below the current low. Besides high anxiety across social media, many investors are waiting on the sidelines, fearing the bull run is over.
However, Astronomer emphasizes that this sentiment misleads holders from acting at optimal price points. The analysis relies on “capitulation volume,” identifying where large sell orders are absorbed by even larger buying activity, creating strong support levels.
According to Astronomer, weekly candles on key dates—including 31 March 2025, 2 September 2024, and 17 January 2022—revealed pre-bottom capitulation patterns. “True capitulation” occurs when three consecutive red weekly candles show high volume, signaling that large funds absorb distressed selling.
Consequently, this layered rule of three approach can anticipate market reversals and bottom formations. Additionally, minor candle variations or low-volume retests do not disrupt the pattern, ensuring accuracy. Hence, historical precedents show Bitcoin either rebounded into new all-time highs or achieved at least a 35% price recovery before continuing prior trends.
Price Targets and Probabilities
With 99% certainty, astronomers predict that Bitcoin will reach $112,000, while there is a 91% chance that it will reach $118,000. Long-term investors might feel reassured because statistical analysis indicates a 75% possibility that the bull run will continue following the present bottom.
He urges investors not to wait for trend confirmation, as doing so aligns them with prevailing fear, potentially forcing suboptimal buying or selling decisions. “Selling now is going with the sentiment, and waiting for the trend to change is also going with the sentiment,” Astronomer explained. Additionally, fresh capital from asset reallocations is entering spot markets, enhancing liquidity and supporting a potential rebound.
