- Bitcoin’s sell-side risk ratio has fallen below 0.1%, pointing to suppressed profit taking and reduced selling activity.
- Historical lows in the ratio align with consolidation phases, often followed by strong upward momentum in Bitcoin’s price.
- Crowd sentiment has surged to a 10 week high, with a 1.77 bullish to bearish ratio driven by Federal Reserve speculation.
Bitcoin’s sell-side risk ratio has dropped below 0.1 percent, reaching its lowest level in years. According to analyst Ali, this metric now stands near 0.07 percent, indicating suppressed selling activity and reduced realized profit taking.
Historically, similar conditions have coincided with market accumulation phases, often preceding periods of stronger upward momentum. The reading comes as Bitcoin trades at $115,671.89 on September 16, 2025, while crowd sentiment has also surged to its most bullish level in months.
Weak Selling Pressure
The sell side risk ratio measures profit taking relative to realized market value. Drops to extreme lows often suggest sellers have limited remaining pressure. Data shows that the ratio has steadily declined over the past year, even as Bitcoin fluctuated between $50,000 and $70,000.
Notably, current levels resemble those seen in late 2022 and mid-2023. Both periods aligned with phases of heavy accumulation and preceded strong rallies. The red line marking the “low value realization” level has been crossed once again, underlining the depth of this trend.
This alignment between shrinking realized profits and persistent consolidation shows a transition toward stronger holder participation. There might be potential market changes if the pattern continues.
Price Overlay Confirms Historical Patterns
When Bitcoin’s price is plotted against the sell-side risk ratio, correlations become evident. Every notable dip in the ratio has overlapped with zones of consolidation before major advances. This pattern adds historical weight to the current reading near 0.07 percent.
Analyst Ali emphasized that sellers now appear exhausted, as realized profit-taking has fallen to minimal levels. Such exhaustion has previously occurred before upward breakouts, with markets shifting momentum once weak hands were absorbed.
This data-driven relationship provides a structured framework for interpreting Bitcoin’s current consolidation within a broader market cycle. However, other market dynamics are also influencing short-term sentiment.
Crowd Sentiment Surges
Alongside technical readings, social sentiment has turned strongly positive. Data shows 185.44 positive mentions against 104.80 negative mentions, producing a 1.77 bullish to bearish ratio. This is the highest “greed” ratio recorded in the past ten weeks.
The spike in sentiment coincides with speculation over potential Federal Reserve rate cuts. Market optimism has accelerated as expectations of looser monetary policy circulate. Historical data shows that sharp surges in optimism have sometimes preceded overheated conditions.
Bitcoin’s current crowd sentiment therefore shows increased confidence, with traders showing strong short term engagement. While this supports bullish momentum, the fast increase in greed also introduces risks of volatility if expectations change.
