- Polymarket traders assign an 85% chance of Bitcoin crossing $100K in May, reflecting strong sentiment and $114K in trading volume.
- The SuperGuppy indicator flipped bullish on the weekly chart, reinforcing a long-term trend shift supported by consistent buying volume.
- Bitcoin’s recovery from $15,500 to over $97K highlights strong technical structure as traders expect a six-figure breakout this month.
Bitcoin’s bullish momentum continues to grow, with market sentiment heavily favoring a breakout above $100,000 this May. On Polymarket, a decentralized prediction platform, traders now assign an 85% chance that Bitcoin crosses this critical threshold before the month ends. This optimism has attracted over $114,000 in trading volume, the highest among the platform’s active Bitcoin price targets.
Besides the $100K level, the platform displays lower confidence for higher price thresholds. The $105,000 target holds a 55% probability with $77,883 in volume, while the $110,000 level shows only a 31% chance and $109,455 in volume. Hence, traders overwhelmingly expect Bitcoin to reach six figures but remain cautious about steeper climbs.
Technical Indicators Flash Green
Moreover, technical analysis supports the bullish narrative. The SuperGuppy indicator has flipped bullish on Bitcoin’s weekly chart, signaling strong upward momentum. This indicator uses colored ribbons to visualize market trends. Green ribbons suggest a bullish trend, while red signals bearish movement.
Source: Titan Of Crypto
The chart highlights a previous bullish flip in late 2021. That shift preceded Bitcoin’s rally to its then all-time high near $69,000. Consequently, many traders view the current flip as a strong technical confirmation. The recent bullish flip coincides with Bitcoin holding firm above $97,000 in early 2025.
Consolidation Before the Climb
Additionally, The historical price of Bitcoin provides context for the current momentum. Following its 2021 peak, the asset had a decline in 2022, settling at a low of about $15,500. It started to consolidate in early 2023, spending the majority of the year trading between $25,000 and $30,000.
However, late 2023 marked a decisive shift. Bitcoin surged past $69,000 by mid-2024 and hit new highs above $100,000. While recent price action shows a pullback, strong support near $97,000 suggests continued bullish structure. The fully green SuperGuppy ribbons remain intact. That indicates buyers still control the trend. Volume spikes also align with major breakouts, reinforcing the strength of these moves.
