- Bitcoin’s four-year cycle projects a potential market peak in October 2025, aligning with past trends.
- Derivatives volume jumped 78.76% and options volume 205%, showing rising leveraged trader interest.
- Analysts expect Bitcoin to surpass $160,000 before its projected cycle top in Q4 2025.
Bitcoin continues to follow its established four-year cycle, with projections pointing to a market peak in October 2025. Historical data shows that Bitcoin has typically peaked 47 weeks after its last cycle high, and current price action remains consistent with previous patterns. Analysts expect another parabolic move that could push prices above $160,000 before the peak.
Cycle Patterns Remain Consistent With Historical Data
According to analysis prepared by ZynChain, Bitcoin has peaked 47 weeks after its previous cycle top in past bull runs. This pattern has occurred between each major high since 2013 and remains unchanged in the current market structure.
From the 2018 low to the 2021 peak, Bitcoin followed a sequence of pullback, consolidation, and two sharp impulse waves. A similar structure is visible now, with a pullback into late 2022, recovery in early 2023, and a strong uptrend through 2024. The latest breakout has taken the price near $120,000.
As of July 2025, Bitcoin is trading at $118,917, up 0.3% in 24 hours, according to CoinGecko. Its circulating supply stands at 19,895,434 BTC, with a market cap of $2.36 trillion. Trading volume has remained high at $148.59 billion, which shows strong market participation.
Market Activity Signals Strength Before Next Peak
According to an observation by Coinglass, Bitcoin derivatives volume surged 78.76% to $88.29 billion. Options volume rose 205.10%, showing increasing interest in leveraged trading. Open interest also increased slightly, reaching $86.15 billion.
Binance and OKX data show top traders leaning long, with Binance’s long/short ratio hitting 1.6071 based on positions. This indicates strong buying interest among high-volume accounts. In the last 24 hours, total liquidations reached $59.62 million, evenly split between long and short positions.
The current price structure mirrors the previous cycle and supports the idea of another upward move. Based on past performance, analysts anticipate a surge beyond $160,000 before Bitcoin reaches its cycle top in Q4 2025.
