- Bitcoin may face short-term bearish pressure before a mid-2025 rally, with key support at 70,000-74,000.
- M2 Money Supply growth influences Bitcoin, but liquidity timing and macroeconomic factors shape price action.
- A weekly close below EMA50 could trigger deeper corrections, while holding above signals a strong accumulation zone.
Bitcoin is experiencing significant market movements, raising questions about its future trajectory. While some fear a bearish turn, others see an opportunity. According to Doctor Profit, market participants must assess liquidity trends, macroeconomic conditions, and price action to determine Bitcoin’s next move. The coming months are critical, with May or June expected to bring clarity.
M2 Money Supply and Its Market Impact
Doctor Profit emphasizes that M2 Money Supply is one of Bitcoin’s strongest historical indicators. However, the timing of liquidity expansion matters. Many traders mistakenly assume that rising M2 leads to an immediate Bitcoin surge. Instead, market responses vary depending on macroeconomic conditions, inflation expectations, and Federal Reserve policies.
Since February 2025, M2 has been increasing. However, Bitcoin’s rally from September 2024 to February 2025 suggests that institutional investors anticipated this shift in advance. The key takeaway is that the market prices in expectations before actual events unfold. Consequently, Doctor Profit warns that Bitcoin may experience short-term bearish pressure before resuming its uptrend in May or June.
Short-Term Strategy and Key Price Levels
A short-term trading technique was presented by Doctor Profit, forecasting a Bitcoin pullback to the 70,000–74,000. The weekly EMA50, a critical support level he had previously noted, is in line with this reversal. His plan was to short Bitcoin around 87,000–88,000. He wanted to make money between 70,000 and 74,000. The way Bitcoin acts in this area will determine the next point of decision.
If Bitcoin wicks into this range but closes above the EMA50, it signals strength, making it a prime accumulation zone. On the other hand, Bitcoin might experience more corrections if it closes consistently below this level on a daily or weekly basis.
By the middle of 2025, the expert predicts that Bitcoin will be back on its upward track, possibly hitting 120,000–140,000. However, he remains prepared for a worst-case scenario. If Bitcoin fails to hold above 70,000, a broader correction toward 50,000 could unfold.
