- Bitcoin dominance nears resistance at 60-62%, signaling a likely altcoin rally as historical patterns suggest a reversal.
- Utility-driven altcoins like $ETH, $ADA, and $AVAX show resilience, hinting at a second leg higher as market fear subsides.
- Technical indicators point to Bitcoin dominance correcting to 46-50%, aligning with past cycles that triggered strong altcoin gains.
Bitcoin dominance ($BTC.D) has finally reached its all-time high of approximately 65% which is a point of inflection for the crypto market. Analyst Astronomer says that this is the peak of Bitcoin’s dominance, and utility-based altcoins are expected to rally in its wake. Altcoins have definitely languished under Bitcoin’s dominance, but looking at past history, it would seem a reversal is overdue.
Bitcoin Dominance Faces Strong Resistance
Bitcoin dominance currently sits at 60.77%, nearing the resistance zone between 60% and 62%. Known as a “Monthly Breaker” and “Q-Breaker,” this region has a history of causing corrections. This degree of dominance was sharply rejected by Bitcoin in mid-2021, leading to an altcoin comeback.
Moreover, Fibonacci retracement analysis places 0.618 as a key rejection zone, aligning with historical data. This indicates a potential drop in dominance, providing room for quality altcoins to surge. Analysts also note that month 37 of the cycle is now in play, further reinforcing expectations of a shift.
Altcoins Poised for Growth
Astronomer’s thesis aligns closely with the 2017 cycle rather than 2021, suggesting utility-based altcoins are best positioned for gains. While the broader market fears negative news regarding altcoins, history shows that such events often mark turning points. Market sentiment has already priced in much of the fear, making it unlikely that altcoins will face further substantial declines.
Notably, major altcoins such as $AVAX, $ADA, $ETH, and $DOGE have begun their initial recovery phase. These assets have shown resilience following Astronomer’s emergency call to invest in them during peak fear. The current setup suggests a second leg higher for quality altcoins as Bitcoin dominance declines.
Market Cycles and Future Expectations
Technical indicators reinforce the idea of an impending Bitcoin dominance drop. The dominance data highlights a critical support range between 46% and 50%, previously marking a bottom before a strong rally in early 2022. Analysts expect a correction towards this level before any further upward movement.
Furthermore, the annotations “Hold the least” and “Start to pivot” suggest key decision points for market participants. Historical patterns indicate that markets often move contrary to mainstream news sentiment, reinforcing the likelihood of an altcoin recovery.
DISCLAIMER: The information on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. We encourage you to do your own research before investing.