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  • Altcoins finally break a three-year downtrend against Bitcoin as TOTAL3/BTC clears resistance, signaling renewed strength and recovery momentum.
  • Analysts highlight that the breakout near $0.50 flips resistance into support, suggesting a strong base for extended altcoin outperformance.
  • Market sentiment stays bearish, yet analysts believe altcoins now begin a fresh cycle of strength as business and market cycles improve.

Altcoins have just broken free from a three-year downtrend against Bitcoin, sparking urgency among traders and analysts across the market. 

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According to chart insights shared by analyst Moustache on X, the TOTAL3/BTC ratio recently pierced a major resistance zone. The move signals a technical breakout that many consider an early sign of renewed strength. This breakout occurred near the $0.48 to $0.52 region, which had long acted as a ceiling for altcoins.

The breakout matters because it comes after years of consistent lower highs that defined weakness against Bitcoin. TOTAL3/BTC once peaked near $1.20 in early 2022 before tumbling to $0.30 by mid-2024.

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Source: Moustache 

Consequently, altcoins lost more than two-thirds of their relative value. However, Moustache noted that “altcoins have broken a 3-year downtrend. The sentiment couldn’t be more bearish/pessimistic. You’ll see how quickly the tide will turn soon.”

Technical Structure Signals Shift

The chart highlights two significant rejection points marked by red arrows. One peak in 2022 and another in 2024 reinforced the dominance of Bitcoin. Besides, a long black trendline confirmed the bearish slope. 

However, 2025 price action changed everything. The line finally cracked, and weekly closes stayed above it. This confirmation underlines sustained strength and not just a false breakout.

Additionally, volume tells its own story. Participation surged during both the brutal declines and the latest breakout. Hence, traders can see conviction behind the move. Moreover, the previous resistance near $0.48-$0.50 now flips into support. This gives altcoins a new foundation to climb higher.

Analysts See Altcoin Cycle Beginning

Other market analysts share this bullish view. Michaël van de Poppe added perspective on X, stating, “Absolutely phenomenal chart and a great representation of what I assume we’ll be seeing with the Altcoin markets. We’re not at the end of the bull & 4-year cycle. We’re at Q3 2019. We’re at Q2 2016. The bull on Altcoins is about to begin with the business cycle improving.”

This context places the market at the start of a larger cycle rather than near exhaustion. Consequently, altcoins may outperform Bitcoin for an extended period.

Altcoins broke a major downtrend against Bitcoin, and analysts now expect a fresh cycle of relative strength and recovery.

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