- Altcoins are nearing a breakout from a 6-month downtrend, with recent price action showing upward potential.
- A WMA 100 and EMA 100 crossover suggests the possibility of a bullish market phase, similar to 2020’s rally.
- Breaking the $600B resistance level could spark further gains, echoing the altcoin market surge from 2018 to 2021.
According to crypto analyst el_crypto_prof on X, altcoins may be on the verge of breaking a six-month downtrend. The analyst highlighted the possibility of an upward breakout and pointed out a vital technical signal: a bullish cross between the 100-week Weighted Moving Average (WMA) and the 100-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA). This crossover occurred recently, mirroring a similar pattern seen in 2021 that led to a parabolic rise in altcoin prices.
Potential Breakout from Descending Channel Pattern
Since 2021, the altcoin market has been moving within a descending channel, defined by lower highs and lower lows. This pattern, often associated with bearish trends, can signal a potential shift when prices break above the upper boundary. Recent price action shows an attempt to break out of this channel, suggesting a possible trend reversal.
In the previous instance, the 2020 breakout from a similar descending channel pattern resulted in a steep rally, pushing the altcoin market to new highs by 2021. Analysts are now watching closely for a confirmed breakout, as it could indicate a shift in market sentiment.
Bullish Moving Averages Crossover
A critical technical signal emerged recently when the 100-week WMA crossed above the 100-week EMA. This bullish crossover, similar to one seen in early 2020, typically indicates a shift in market momentum from bearish to bullish. During the 2018-2021 period, a similar crossover led to a rally, pushing the total altcoin market cap beyond $1 trillion.
Notably, the current crossover around the $500 billion level reinforces the possibility of another bullish phase. If this pattern holds, it could mark the beginning of a new upward trend, as seen in the 2020 rally.
Key Resistance Levels and Trend Comparison
While the recent breakout attempts show promise, the market faces critical resistance levels. The $600 billion mark is a barrier, and breaking above this level would be crucial for a sustained upward trend. Previous resistance at $450 billion, which once acted as support, now poses another challenge as the market tries to recover.
Comparing the 2018-2021 and 2021-2024 periods, the altcoin market shows similar trends. After a prolonged correction and consolidation period, the bullish signals suggest a potential new uptrend, resembling the 2020 rally.
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