- The altcoin market cap is retesting the $400 billion resistance zone, and the RSI (Relative Strength Index) shows a classic cup-and-handle structure.
- A breakout above $400 billion could trigger a strong rally, pushing the market cap toward $600 billion.
- RSI indicates momentum is building, but the market faces strong skepticism over the possibility of an altseason ahead.
The altcoin market sends shockwaves across the crypto-sphere, forming a potential textbook pattern. According to a chart shared by analyst MikyEdge on TradingView, the total altcoin market cap (excluding the top 10 cryptocurrencies) is currently at $339.15 billion, down by -0.39%.
The weekly chart highlights a well-defined “Cup and Handle” pattern—one of technical analysis’s most recognizable bullish formations. If confirmed, this could set the stage for a major rally, with implications of a breakout that may redefine the upcoming “Altseason.”
The “Cup” segment reflects a deep correction after altcoins peaked near the $900 billion mark in early 2022. This rounded bottom, spanning nearly two years, culminated in mid-2024 as the market recovered. The current “Handle” formation is crucial, as the altcoin cap is retesting the resistance zone around the $400 billion level. This region aligns with price action from previous cycles, supporting and resisting over time.
Breaking Down the Pattern: Cup, Handle, and the Resistance Battle
The “Cup and Handle” setup is illustrated as a structure that combines market psychology and technical dynamics. The cup’s smooth curve represents a gradual transition from bearish to bullish sentiment, while the handle’s slight downward drift reflects consolidation and market indecision. Should this handle break out above the $400 billion resistance line, technical projections suggest a potential target well above $600 billion in the coming quarters.
What makes this pattern so compelling is the historical significance of the $400 billion zone. The market tested this level multiple times during the 2022-2023 bear market, making it a pivotal battleground for bulls and bears alike. As of now,levels hover around 56.45, showing a steady climb from oversold conditions while still leaving room for upward momentum.
A Polarized Market: Altseason or Altseason Cancelled?
Despite the optimistic outlook of a potential breakout, sentiment remains divided. MikyEdge notes that “the majority here are calling for Altseason cancellation,” hinting at skepticism among retail investors. However, seasoned traders recognize the potential for significant gains if the breakout aligns with macroeconomic improvements, such as easing monetary policies or Bitcoin stability.
While many in the comments section advocate patience—like user Slave852, who quipped, “Patience is key while others panic”—some remain eager for action. For instance, Sy expressed readiness for a rally, humorously adding, “Let’s go already! I’m ready. Exit plans are set. Vacation dates decided.”
Key Takeaways and the Road Ahead
The implications could be monumental if the altcoin market breaks out of this handle formation. A successful breakout may trigger an inflow of capital into altcoins, setting the stage for the much-anticipated Altseason. On the flip side, a failure to reclaim the resistance line could lead to further consolidation or even a retest of lower support levels.
Analyst MikyEdge’s chart serves as a vital roadmap for traders eyeing opportunities in the altcoin market. The historical resistance, RSI momentum, and the classic “Cup and Handle” pattern provide a data-backed narrative for a potential bullish reversal. However, as always, the market holds its cards close, leaving participants to balance optimism with caution.
DISCLAIMER: The information on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. We encourage you to do your own research before investing.