- Bitcoin halvings have historically sparked altcoin booms, suggesting the next altseason could unfold after 2024’s halving.
- Altseasons are lasting longer each cycle, hinting at prolonged growth and increased market participation post-2025.
- Rising trading volumes and extended cycles indicate altcoins may see another explosive rally in the coming months.
The cryptocurrency market is speculating about the next altseason. While many believe an altcoin rally is unlikely this cycle, historical trends suggest otherwise. Past market cycles reveal a pattern where Bitcoin halvings trigger explosive altcoin surges. The next altseason might arrive soon if history is any indication. Altcoin investors look for indications of an imminent surge since Bitcoin’s fourth halving is anticipated in April 2024.
Historical Patterns in Altcoin Market Cycles
The first major altseason followed Bitcoin’s second halving on July 9, 2016. The altcoin market surged for 203 days, forming a peak before declining. It spanned 29 weekly bars, recording a massive trading volume of 17.02 trillion.
Following Bitcoin’s third halving on May 11, 2020, the second altseason appeared. The trend repeated the previous cycle, rising parabolic and then correcting itself. This phase lasted 238 days, covering 34 weekly bars, with a total trading volume of 10.12 trillion. Notably, the cycle duration increased, suggesting a lengthening trend in altseason timelines.
Projected Altseason After the 2024 Bitcoin Halving
Bitcoin’s fourth halving, scheduled for April 20, 2024, could prepare for the next altseason. The time gap between halving events and altcoin booms appears to be extending. The last altseason lasted 273 days, spanning 39 weekly bars, with a trading volume of 18.41 trillion. If this trend continues, the next altseason could see even greater market participation and prolonged growth.
Moreover, a rising trendline connects the lowest points of each market cycle, indicating long-term expansion. Bitcoin halvings have historically preceded altcoin market cap surges, followed by a consolidation phase. With this pattern in place, another altseason could unfold post-2025.
Market Implications and Future Projections
Altseasons bring heightened volatility, rapid price movements, and increased market participation. Volume data highlights surging investor interest during peak periods. If past trends continue, the altcoin market could experience another major breakout in the coming months.
DISCLAIMER: The information on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. We encourage you to do your own research before investing.