- ADA’s sharp drop below $0.70 was a downside fakeout, followed by strong recovery and volume.
- Technical patterns and rising open interest point to renewed bullish momentum toward $0.88 and $1.17.
- ETF optimism and the LAOS upgrade boost ADA’s case for sustained gains and broader adoption.
Cardano (ADA) price movement in early 2025 shows two key fakeouts: a sharp decline followed by a strong recovery. This price behavior has drawn the attention of analysts and traders, as ADA attempts to reclaim critical resistance levels and confirm a sustained upward trend.
Cardano Rebounds After Bearish Fakeout
ADA dropped below the $0.70 level in April, which was viewed by many traders as a bearish signal. However, the drop was short-lived, and the price quickly rebounded, suggesting it was a downside fakeout.
According to analysis prepared by TradingView chartists, ADA broke out of a falling wedge pattern while completing an inverse head and shoulders on the daily chart. This recovery coincided with rising trading volume. Coinglass data shows daily volume consistently crossed $700 million in recent weeks, with a peak above $1 billion on April 25.
The increase in open interest to $782 million from $576 million in early April also reflects growing confidence in upward momentum. Analyst Ali Martinez noted that ADA must close above $0.74 to clear the way to $0.88 and beyond.
ETF Buzz and Technical Upgrades Fuel Upside Breakout Speculation
After its rebound, ADA tested the upper boundary of its previous wedge pattern. This move was followed by another breakout attempt, raising speculation that the earlier rise was an upside fakeout. However, positive signals continue to emerge from both institutional and retail fronts.
According to Bloomberg analysts, there is now a 75% chance that a Cardano ETF will be approved. This aligns with Polymarket data showing growing bets on institutional adoption in 2025. Meanwhile, Cardano’s LAOS upgrade is expected to bring faster and more efficient transactions, supporting its technical strength.
At the same time, Cardano is integrating Bitcoin through its Babel fee system, allowing BTC transaction fees. These upgrades and partnerships could help ADA hold its recent gains and attempt a break toward $1.17.
