- Stellar (XLM) builds strength, holding higher lows as buyers eye a key $0.40 breakout.
- Accumulation patterns and historical symmetry hint at a potential Stellar rally ahead.
- XLM’s wedge formation tightens, with a decisive move likely once volume starts rising.
Stellar (XLM) is trading at $0.2874 after gaining 2.28% on the day, recovering from its March low near $0.20. The altcoin has gained momentum in recent weeks, signaling renewed bullish interest while it consolidates beneath critical resistance at $0.40.
Bullish Momentum Builds Beneath Key Resistance
XLM’s daily chart on TradingView shows a defined rebound from the $0.20 support area, with price action steadily rising within a narrowing wedge formation. Volume remains relatively subdued at 61.77 million, well below the peak levels seen during the late-2024 breakout above $0.70. This tightening range reflects reduced volatility, but the price structure suggests accumulation beneath resistance.
Source: TradingView
No moving averages are explicitly shown, though the trendline from March indicates higher lows forming, often a bullish indicator in wedge patterns. The chart structure implies buyers are stepping in near support, while sellers remain active at the $0.40 ceiling. This compression zone historically precedes a decisive move, particularly after a strong rally and correction phase.
Historical Symmetry Signals Another Potential Rally
Analyst Osemka notes that XLM’s current behavior closely mirrors its 2015–2018 cycle, including accumulation, breakout, and post-impulse consolidation. The 2023 breakout above a multi-year base resembled the vertical rise seen in 2017, and the current descending wedge echoes the same corrective structure before Stellar’s prior bull run. Price now holds just above historical support between $0.12–$0.13, reinforcing bullish structure.
Another analysis from him reinforces this parallel, highlighting consistent accumulation zones followed by impulsive breakouts and shallow retracements. Fibonacci patterns suggest a possible continuation toward higher levels if current consolidation holds. Analysts also emphasize that prior resistance zones have flipped into support, a bullish signal that underpins the stability of the current uptrend.
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Breakout Confirmation Hinges on Volume and Structure
The $0.40 resistance remains the line in the sand; clearing it could spark a surge back toward the $0.70 zone. Historical data suggests that similar wedge breakouts led to vertical rallies once the price cleared horizontal ceilings with rising volume. Traders are closely watching for a daily close above this threshold to confirm bullish continuation.
Conversely, a breakdown below $0.20 would negate the current bullish setup and could trigger further downside toward the $0.10 zone seen in late 2023. According to Osemka, the current structure favors bulls, with consistently higher lows, volume-backed impulse moves, and recurring historical patterns. If momentum sustains, Stellar may be preparing for its next significant breakout.
